Main research objectives are:
1. Environment and economic activity estimation in terms of analysis of business processes occurring on the Russian market of cereals.
The research period is 2003-2008.
2. Revelation of development tendencies of the Russian cereals market, expediency definition and possibilities of investors penetrate to it in conditions of turbulent market environment.
The general trends and development forecasts of the Russian market of cereals are considered over near-term outlook.
Information sources:
1. Reports of Federal State Statistic Service, Russian Federal Customs Service, Ministry for Economic Development of the Russian Federation, Ministry of Agriculture of Russia, United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service.
2. Companies press releases, branch and expert estimations of mass-media.
3. Own informational resource and extensive enterprises database of Information Agency «CredInform North-West ».
Outlook content:
This outlook is dedicated to description of cereals market in correlation with grain market.
Significant attention was paid to analysis of grain manufacture, studying of consumer's preferences and that of cereals and grain distribution systems. The classification of grain and market structure of cereals and grain production is presented. Key financial figures of Russian companies in sphere of manufacture, storage, warehousing and wholesale of cereals and grain crops trade are showed.
Outlook contains information of the Russian agriculture sector condition as source base of cereals manufacture in Russia.
Question of import and export deliveries of cereals production in Russia in 2008 is studied in details.
Also the review contains estimations and market participants’ opinions on occurring situations, and information on leading players of market.
General conclusions:
The Russian market of cereals is characterized by stability and dynamical development – average annual rate of increase makes about 4%. The following basic groups of grains are noted by kinds of cultures: rice, buckwheat, rolled oats, millet, semolina, pearl-barley, fine-ground barley, peas, wheaten, oatmeal, corn.
Development of cereals market generally depends on cereals and grain crops market condition. There is a sufficient source base for manufacture of all kinds of grains in Russia, except rice crop that depends on import. 8360 enterprises cultivate cereals and grain crops in Russia.
735 enterprises produce cereals and flour (basic volumes of cereals productivity have rice, buckwheat, rolled oats, millet, etc.). 435 enterprises deal with cereals wholesale and 55 enterprises are occupied with retail trade of cereals.
The backbone factor of cereals market attractiveness is state of affairs in agrarian sector.
As to experts, cereals and various goods made on its base will make a basic food ratio under crisis.
In spite of insignificant forecast reduction of cereals production in 2009 (10-13%) in near-term outlook the demand for that of will become stronger.
Consumption of cereals and grain crops will be provided due to growth of Russian manufacturer’s productivity, including goods with high added cost, also reduction of real disposable incomes of population and import deliveries reduction. In addition the processes of assets consolidation will increase.
Stage-by-stage realization by state of the Program «Development of agriculture and markets regulation of agricultural production, raw materials and food for 2008-2012» will result to a push of market development.
Contents:
1 The cereals market in Russia
2 State of agricultural sector of Russia as source base of cereals manufacture in Russia
3 Analysis of import-export deliveries of cereals in Russia in 2008 (commodity codes group 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104)
4 Development trends of cereals market
5 Leading players of cereals and grain crops market
Tables:
1.1. Croppage of cereals, grain crops and leguminous plants (in weight after completion) in Russia in economy of all categories in 2003-2008
1.2. Croppage of cereals and grain crops (in weight after completion) in economy of all categories detailed on federal districts of Russia in 2006-2008
1.3. Manufacture of cereals and grain crops in Russia in 2007-2008
1.4. Realization of cereals, grain crops and leguminous plants in Russia totally and detailed on separate distribution channels
1.5. Realization volume of cereals and grain crops by agricultural enterprises in 2008
1.6. Annual turnover the manufacturers of grain, technical and other agricultural crops (TOP-20)
1.7. Key financial figures of some manufacturers of grain, technical and other agricultural crops (TOP-20)
1.8. Annual turnover the manufacturers of flour-and-cereals industry (TOP-20)
1.9. Key financial figures the manufacturers of flour-and-cereals industry (TOP-20)
1.10. Annual turnover the manufacturers of cereals, meal, granules and other products of grain crops (TOP-20)
1.11. Key financial figures the manufacturers of cereals, meals, granules and other products of grain crops (TOP-20)
1.12. Annual turnover of grain elevators and granaries (TOP-20)
1.13. Key financial figures of grain elevators and granaries (TOP-20)
1.14. Annual turnover the wholesale agents of grain trade (TOP-20)
1.15. Key financial figures the wholesale agents of grain trade (TOP-20)
1.16. Annual turnover the wholesale enterprises of grain trade (TOP-20)
1.17. Key financial figures the wholesale enterprises of grain trade (TOP-20)
1.18. Annual turnover the wholesale enterprises of cereals trade (TOP-20)
1.19. Key financial figures the wholesale enterprises of cereals trade (TOP-20)
1.20. Annual turnover the retail enterprises of cereals trade (TOP-15)
1.21. Key financial figures the retail enterprises of cereals trade (TOP-15)
1.22. Prices on cereals of enterprises as of April, 4th 2009
1.23. Manufacturers price indexes on cereals, grain crops and leguminous plants in 2009 (January-February)
1.24. Purchasing prices on wheat of cereals and grain companies, milling plants at transactions as of April, 4th 2009
1.25. Purchasing prices on barley of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
1.26. Purchasing prices on rye of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
1.27. Purchasing prices on oats of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (February-March)
1.28. Purchasing prices on corn of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
1.29. Purchasing prices on millet of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
1.30. Purchasing prices on buckwheat of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
1.31. Purchasing prices on peas of cereals, grain and processing companies at transactions in 2009 (January-March)
2.1. Areas under agricultural crops in 2003-2008 in economy of all categories
2.2. Manufacture of mineral fertilizers in recalculation on 100% of nutrients in 2006-2008, 2009 (January-February)
2.3. Manufacture of cars and equipment for agriculture in 2006-2008, 2009 (January-February)
2.4. Purchases of agricultural crops to intervention fund as of 02.04.2009
3.1. Characteristic of commodity group codes 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104 (cereal)
3.2. Volumes of import and export deliveries of cereal production in 2008 detailed on commodity codes
3.3. Deliveries volumes of cereal production to Russia in 2009 detailed on countries consignors (in kind and cost value)
3.4. Volumes of import deliveries of cereal production to Russia in 2009 (TOP-20)
3.5. Deliveries volumes of cereal production from Russia in 2009 detailed on countries consignees (in kind and cost value)
3.6. Volumes of export deliveries of cereal production from Russia in 2009 (TOP-10)
4.1. Some target figures of State program actions realization in 2008-2012
4.2. Output volumes of cereal and grain crops in Russia in 2009
4.3. Marginal levels of floor prices the purchasing interventions implementation in the relation of cereal and grain crops of 2009 harvest
4.4. List of enterprises which stocks are contributed in OAO «Obyedinennaya zernovaya kompaniya»
Diagrams:
1.1. Output volumes of cereals on Russian enterprises of flour-and-cereals industry in 2003-2008
1.2. Structure of cereals consumption in Russia by kinds of cultures
1.3. Croppage of cereals grain crops in weight after completion in Russia in economy of all categories in 2003-2008
1.4. Productivity of cereals and grain crops in weight after completion in economy of all categories in 2003-2008
1.5. Manufacture structure of cereals and grain crops in Russia in economy of all categories in 2008
1.6. Manufacture structure of cereals and grain crops in Russia detailed on categories of economy
2.1. Geography of consignors countries of cereals production to Russia in 2009, declared on commodity groups 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104 (in kind)
2.2. Geography of consignors countries of cereals production to Russia in 2009, declared on commodity groups 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104 (in cost value)
2.3. Geography of consignees countries of cereals production from Russia in 2009, declared on commodity groups 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104 (in kind)
2.4. Geography of consignees countries of cereals production from Russia in 2009, declared on commodity groups 0713, 1006, 1008, 1103, 1104 (in cost value)
3.1. Forecast market capacity of cereals in 2009-2012
3.2. Real disposable incomes of population in 2003-2009
3.3. Output volumes of wheat consumption in Russia in 2007-2010
3.4. Output and consumption volumes of barley in Russia in 2007-2010
3.5. Output and consumption volumes of corn in Russia in 2007-2010
3.6. Output and consumption volumes of rye in Russia in 2007-2010
3.7. Areas under agricultural crops, croppage of cereals and grain crops in 2003-2009
3.8. Manufacture structure of cereals and grain crops in Russia in 2009
Figures:
1. Example of the brief supplemental information on a company
2. Analysis of financial figures of a firm "X"
3. Analysis of foreign trade activities of a firm "X"
